How does explicit reliability guide choices? Effect of trustworthiness on choice and metacognition

Abstract

A key challenge in today’s fast-paced digital world is to integrate information from various sources, which differ in their reliability. Yet, little is known about how explicit probabilistic information about the likelihood that a source provides correct information is used in decision-making. Here, we investigated how such explicit reliability markers are integrated into decisions and the extent to which individuals have metacognitive insight into this process. We developed a novel paradigm where participants viewed predictions from sources of varying explicit reliability to help them make a choice between two options. After each decision, they rated how much they felt a given source influenced their choice. Using computational modelling, we estimated the effective reliability that participants assigned to each source. Overall, we found that participants did not take source reliability at face value, inappropriately using the stated probabilities of source correctness to make a choice. Interestingly, even sources that were explicitly labelled as unreliable biased choices, as if these were treated as moderately reliable. Additionally, the presence of sources flagged as lying ones and known to be reliably predicting the incorrect answer impaired performance by increasing leakiness in evidence accumulation. Despite these biases, participants showed some metacognitive awareness of what influenced their choices: they were aware of the impact unreliable sources had on their decisions and could evaluate how much a given source had increased the likelihood of their response. These results suggest that people distort explicit source reliability but have some awareness of this process.

The authors' abstract, as published at the source. PLoS Computational Biology, 2026 · DOI ↗