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· 2026

Flow-Driven ESG Returns

Philippe van der Beck

Short summary

ESG investing returns are primarily driven by price impact from investor flows, not fundamental value, with every dollar flowing into ESG increasing ESG stock value by $0.8 and contributing 1.9% annual flow-driven returns.

AI-generated from the title and abstract; the full text is not read.

Key points

  • ESG returns are primarily driven by price impact from investor flows.
  • Every dollar flowing into ESG portfolios increases ESG stock market value by $0.8.
  • Institutional flows have caused an annual flow-driven return of 1.9% for ESG stocks.
  • ESG stocks would not have outperformed the market from 2012-2023 without these flows.

AI-generated from the title and abstract; the full text is not read.

Abstract

I show that the recent returns to ESG investing are strongly driven by price impact from flows towards ESG portfolios. Using data on trades, I estimate the market’s ability to accommodate ESG flows, which is given by the elasticity of substitution between ESG and other stocks. I show that every dollar flowing towards a representative ESG portfolio increases the market value of ESG stocks by $0.8. The growing institutional flows into the ESG portfolio are the main driver of ESG returns and have caused an annual flow-driven return of 1.9%. In the absence of flows, ESG stocks would not have outperformed the market from 2012 to 2023.

The authors' abstract, as published at the source., 2026 · DOI ↗

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Field: Economics and Econometrics

Economics and EconometricsEconomics, Econometrics and Finance