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Stochastic Analysis and Applications· 2026Q2

Superpositions of CARMA processes

Danijel Grahovac, Magdalena Mikić

Short summary

Researchers introduce supCARMA processes, superpositions of Lévy-driven CARMA processes, as a flexible new class for modeling time series with complex correlation structures, including long-range dependence and non-monotone patterns.

AI-generated from the title and abstract; the full text is not read.

Key points

  • Introduced supCARMA processes as superpositions of Lévy-driven CARMA processes.
  • Classified supCAR(2) processes into three types based on CAR(2) matrix eigenstructure.
  • Derived explicit conditions for existence and correlation functions for supCAR(2) processes.
  • Identified potential for long-range dependence and non-monotone correlation structures.

AI-generated from the title and abstract; the full text is not read.

Abstract

We introduce supCARMA processes, defined as superpositions of Lévy-driven CARMA processes with respect to a Lévy basis, as a natural extension of the superpositions of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes. We then focus on supCAR$(2)$ processes and show that they can be classified into three distinct types determined by the eigenstructure of the underlying CAR$(2)$ matrix. For each type we provide conditions for existence and derive explicit expressions for the correlation function. The resulting correlation structures may exhibit long-range dependence and can be non-monotone. These features make supCAR$(2)$ processes a flexible class for modeling time series with oscillatory correlations or strong dependence.

The authors' abstract, as published at the source. Stochastic Analysis and Applications, 2026 · DOI ↗

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Field: Finance

FinanceEconomics, Econometrics and Finance