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Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health· 2019Q1

Epidemiology of Type 2 Diabetes – Global Burden of Disease and Forecasted Trends

Moien AB Khan, Muhammad Jawad Hashim, Jeffrey King, Romona Devi Govender et al.

Short summary

In 2017, type 2 diabetes affected 462 million people globally (6.28% of the population), with prevalence projected to reach 7079 per 100,000 by 2030.

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Key points

  • In 2017, 462 million people worldwide had type 2 diabetes, with prevalence rates varying by age group (6.28% overall, 22% for ages 70+).
  • Diabetes is the ninth leading cause of mortality, contributing to over 1 million deaths annually.
  • Global prevalence is projected to rise to 7079 per 100,000 by 2030, with faster increases observed in developed regions and lower-income countries.
  • The incidence of type 2 diabetes peaks around age 55, with an equal gender distribution.

AI-generated from the title and abstract; the full text is not read.

Abstract

The rising burden of type 2 diabetes is a major concern in healthcare worldwide. This research aimed to analyze the global epidemiology of type 2 diabetes. We analyzed the incidence, prevalence, and burden of suffering of diabetes mellitus based on epidemiological data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) current dataset from the Institute of Health Metrics, Seattle. Global and regional trends from 1990 to 2017 of type 2 diabetes for all ages were compiled. Forecast estimates were obtained using the SPSS Time Series Modeler. In 2017, approximately 462 million individuals were affected by type 2 diabetes corresponding to 6.28% of the world's population (4.4% of those aged 15-49 years, 15% of those aged 50-69, and 22% of those aged 70+), or a prevalence rate of 6059 cases per 100,000. Over 1 million deaths per year can be attributed to diabetes alone, making it the ninth leading cause of mortality. The burden of diabetes mellitus is rising globally, and at a much faster rate in developed regions, such as Western Europe. The gender distribution is equal, and the incidence peaks at around 55 years of age. Global prevalence of type 2 diabetes is projected to increase to 7079 individuals per 100,000 by 2030, reflecting a continued rise across all regions of the world. There are concerning trends of rising prevalence in lower-income countries. Urgent public health and clinical preventive measures are warranted.

The authors' abstract, as published at the source. Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health, 2019 · DOI ↗

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Field: Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism

Endocrinology, Diabetes and MetabolismMedicine