Geophysical Research Letters· 2026Q1
Global Warming Has Accelerated Significantly
- 32citations
- Q1SCImago
- 2026year
Short summary
Global warming has accelerated, with faster warming over the last decade than any previous decade, now detected with over 98% confidence after accounting for natural variability.
AI-generated from the title and abstract; the full text is not read.
Key points
- Global warming acceleration is now detectable with >98% confidence.
- The last decade experienced faster warming than any previous decade.
- Natural variability factors (El Niño, volcanism, solar variation) were removed to reveal acceleration.
- Previous analyses lacked the 95% confidence level for acceleration.
AI-generated from the title and abstract; the full text is not read.
Abstract
Abstract Recent record‐hot years have caused discussion over whether global warming has accelerated. Previous analysis found acceleration (i.e., increase in warming rate) has not yet reached a 95% confidence level, given natural temperature variability. We remove the estimated influence of three main natural variability factors: El Niño, volcanism, and solar variation. The resulting adjusted and thus less “noisy” data show that there has been acceleration with over 98% confidence, with faster warming over the last 10+ years than during any previous decade.
The authors' abstract, as published at the source. Geophysical Research Letters, 2026 · DOI ↗
The rest is in the Pofolia app
Takeaways and questions to the paper; new summaries every day for your field. Free.
Sign in on the web to openOceanographyEarth and Planetary Sciences