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The Lancet· 2020

Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study

Stein Emil Vollset, Emily Goren, Chun-Wei Yuan, Jackie Cao et al.

Short summary

Global population is projected to peak at 9.73 billion in 2064 and decline to 8.79 billion by 2100, driven by falling fertility rates below replacement level in most countries.

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Field: Demography

DemographySocial Sciences