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The Lancet· 2018

Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 2016–40 for 195 countries and territories

Kyle J Foreman, Neal Marquez, Andrew J. Dolgert, Kai Fukutaki et al.

Short summary

A novel modeling platform forecasts global life expectancy to increase by 4.4 years for men and women by 2040, but with significant disparities persisting between high and low-income countries.

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Field: Demography

DemographySocial Sciences