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The Lancet· 2017

Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries: projections with a Bayesian model ensemble

Vasilis Kontis, James E. Bennett, Colin Mathers, Guangquan Li et al.

Short summary

A Bayesian model ensemble projects life expectancy to increase in all 35 industrialised countries by 2030, with a >50% chance of national female life expectancy exceeding 90 years.

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Field: Demography

DemographySocial Sciences