Information· 2026Q2

A Reproducible Framework for Monitoring and Forecasting Regional Morbidity in Kazakhstan Using Harmonized Annual Official Statistics

Zhanar Oralbekova, Zhaniya Karabayeva, Marzhan Turarova, Natalya Demidchik et al.

0citations
Q2SCImago
2026year

Short summary

A novel framework combining official statistics with a hybrid forecasting model (last-observation + Extra Trees residual correction) reduced mean absolute error (MAE) by 1.93% for regional morbidity in Kazakhstan (1344 observations, 2012-2025).

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Field: Demography

DemographySocial Sciences