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IMF staff discussion note· 2014

Redistribution, Inequality, and Growth

Jonathan D. Ostry, Andrew Berg, Charalambos Tsangarides

Short summary

Macroeconomic data show little evidence that redistribution undercuts economic growth, challenging the long-held 'leaky bucket' hypothesis.

AI-generated from the title and abstract; the full text is not read.

Key points

  • Macroeconomic data suggests redistribution does not significantly harm economic growth.
  • The 'leaky bucket' hypothesis, positing a trade-off between redistribution and growth, is not strongly supported by current data.
  • Exceptions to this finding occur only in extreme cases of redistribution.
  • The IMF now recognizes the interconnectedness of growth, stability, and inequality.

AI-generated from the title and abstract; the full text is not read.

Abstract

The Fund has recognized in recent years that one cannot separate issues of economic growth and stability on one hand and equality on the other. Indeed, there is a strong case for considering inequality and an inability to sustain economic growth as two sides of the same coin. Central to the Fund’s mandate is providing advice that will enable members’ economies to grow on a sustained basis. But the Fund has rightly been cautious about recommending the use of redistributive policies given that such policies may themselves undercut economic efficiency and the prospects for sustained growth (the so-called “leaky bucket” hypothesis written about by the famous Yale economist Arthur Okun in the 1970s). This SDN follows up the previous SDN on inequality and growth by focusing on the role of redistribution. It finds that, from the perspective of the best available macroeconomic data, there is not a lot of evidence that redistribution has in fact undercut economic growth (except in extreme cases). One should be careful not to assume therefore—as Okun and others have—that there is a big tradeoff between redistribution and growth. The best available macroeconomic data do not support such a conclusion.

The authors' abstract, as published at the source. IMF staff discussion note, 2014 · DOI ↗

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Field: General Economics, Econometrics and Finance

General Economics, Econometrics and FinanceEconomics, Econometrics and Finance