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Applied System Innovation· 2026Q1

Early Academic Performance Prediction in Secondary Education: Are Simple Machine Learning Models Enough?

Víctor D. Díaz Suárez, Marina Praena-Delgado, María de los Ángeles Buenavista-Ruiz, Carmen Román-León et al.

Short summary

Linear regression models match or outperform complex Random Forest models for predicting final grades in secondary education (R²=0.857 vs. R²=0.740), due to stable cohort dynamics creating a linear temporal structure.

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Field: Computer Science Applications

Computer Science ApplicationsComputer Science