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Journal of Thoracic Disease· 2020Q2

Modified SEIR and AI prediction of the epidemics trend of COVID-19 in China under public health interventions

Zifeng Yang, Zhiqi Zeng, Ke Wang, Sook‐San Wong et al.

Short summary

A modified SEIR model integrated with population migration data and an AI approach trained on SARS data predicted that China's COVID-19 epidemic would peak by late February and decline by end of April, with a five-day delay in interventions tripling the epidemic size.

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Field: Modeling and Simulation

Modeling and SimulationMathematics