Journal of Clinical Medicine· 2020Q2

Estimation of the Transmission Risk of the 2019-nCoV and Its Implication for Public Health Interventions

Biao Tang, Xia Wang, Qian Li, Nicola Luigi Bragazzi et al.

1,484citations
Q2SCImago
2020year

Short summary

A mathematical model estimates the control reproduction number (R_c) for 2019-nCoV at 6.47 (95% CI 5.71-7.23), indicating a high transmission risk. Interventions like contact tracing and quarantine significantly reduce this risk, with Wuhan's travel restrictions showing a substantial impact.

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Field: Modeling and Simulation

Modeling and SimulationMathematics