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The Lancet Infectious Diseases· 2020Q1

Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis

Robert Verity, Lucy Okell, Ilaria Dorigatti, Peter Winskill et al.

Short summary

This analysis estimates the COVID-19 case fatality ratio in China to be 1.38%, significantly higher in older age groups, reaching 13.4% for those 80 and older. The overall infection fatality ratio was estimated at 0.66%.

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Field: Modeling and Simulation

Modeling and SimulationMathematics