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The Lancet Public Health· 2020Q1

The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study

Kiesha Prem, Yang Liu, Timothy Russell, Adam J. Kucharski et al.

Short summary

A modeling study projecting COVID-19 outcomes in Wuhan found that physical distancing measures, particularly a staggered return to work in early April, reduced median infections by over 92% by mid-2020 and 24% by end-2020.

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Field: Modeling and Simulation

Modeling and SimulationMathematics